WB ARA 2018 2018-08-07 Files available for download WB ARA (4.8 MB) The migration flow continued to decrease remaininglargely under control; coordination and cooperation remain crucial An array of response measures, ranging from coordinated enhancement of border-controls by the most affected countries to policy actions supported by the EU, introduced at the end of 2015 and maintained throughout 2016 and 2017, contributed to a marked reduction in the volume of the non-regional[1] migration flow observed in the Western ... Read more
WB Q2 2018 2019-07-03 Files available for download WB Q2 2018 (765.3 KB) Key findings Overall, the number of illegal border-crossings by non-regional[1] migrants recorded at the green borders rose in Q2 2018. The main Serbia-centred route appears to have regained attractiveness, with more migrants attempting to enter the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia and move towards Serbia. After reaching Serbia migrants prefer moving towards Bosnia and Herzegovina–Croatia and further north, while the pressure at Hungary, ... Read more
WB Q3 2017 2018-03-07 Files available for download WB Q3 2017 (1.3 MB) Key findings:Even though the number of illegal border-crossings by nonregional migrants recorded at the green borders in Q3 2017 showed an increase over Q2 2017, it was lower than that of the corresponding quarters in the previous five years.The number of non-regional migrants detected in an attempt to leave the region via BCPs also decreased, as the enhanced controls might have discouraged migrants from choosing this travel alternative; ... Read more
FRAN Q2 2015 2015-10-07 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/FRAN_Q2_2015_final.pdf (10.8 MB) In Q2 2015, all indicators showed increasing trends compared with the situation a year ago. Compared with Q2 2014, detections of illegal border-crossing at the external borders increased by more than 140% and the number of asylum applicants – by two thirds. In relation to the previous quarter all indicators except for illegal border-crossing at BCPs went up, which was traditionally expected after the winter ... Read more
WB Q1 2018 2018-08-07 Files available for download WB Q1 2018 (780.8 KB) Key findings Overall, the number of illegal border-crossings by non-regional[1] migrants recorded at the green borders in Q1 2018 was slightly below the values of both Q1 and Q4 2017, in spite of seasonality. Indications that migrants are searching for alternative routing to bypass the enhanced controls on the main Serbia-centred corridor, continued being observed into Q1 2018: Lower pressure reported at Serbia’s northern common borders with ... Read more
FRAN Q1 2015 2015-07-09 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/FRAN_Q1_2015.pdf (9.4 MB) In the first quarter of 2015, all indicators showed increasing trends compared to the situation a year ago. However, compared to the previous quarter (last quarter of 2014), the indicators were down, as traditionally expected during winter months. Yet, two important indicators (detections of illegal border-crossing and illegal stay) were the largest ever recorded for a first quarter of the year since data ... Read more
Frontex publishes Risk Analysis for 2016 2016-04-05 Last year, an estimated one million migrants arrived in Europe, accounting for the record number of 1.82 million detections of illegal border crossings reported by EU Member States. The number of detections was more than six times the previous record set in 2014. A large number of illegal crossings were made by people who were counted for the first time when arriving on the Greek islands from Turkey and later were counted again when crossing one of EU’s external borders in the Western Balkans. ... Read more
WB Q4 2018 2019-07-03 Files available for download WB Q4 2018 (811.5 KB) Key findingsOverall, the number of illegal border-crossings by non-regional[1] migrants at the green borders decreased by 28 % compared with Q3 2018. Pressure exerted by Iranians dropped after Serbia reinstated visa-requirements for them in October. They projected pressure north from Serbia towards Hungary and Croatia (via Bosnia and Herzegovina) and south towards Greece (via North Macedonia). Indian nationals increasingly used the same modus ... Read more
Western Balkans Annual Risk Analysis 2010 2010-11-19 Frontex has issued the first Annual Risk Assessment from the West Balkans Risk Analysis Network (WB-RAN), produced from analysis of available statistical data from the whole of 2009 and the first quarter of 2010, additional information from participating WB-RAN countries and relevant Frontex-coordinated joint operations. Three distinct trends are apparent from the analysis. In terms of size, the greatest irregular migration flow is of Albanians from Albania (and Kosovo) to EU Member States. ... Read more
Number of migrants arriving in Greece down 40% in January 2016-02-22 The number of migrants arriving in Greece in January fell to 68 000, down nearly 40% in comparison with December 2015, due in large part to poor weather conditions around the Aegean islands.The rough seas also led to a significant increase in fatalities in the waters between Turkey and Greece.Despite the drop in migrant arrivals from the previous month, the figure for January 2016 was 38 times higher than the number recorded in January 2015. Syrians, Afghans and Iraqis continued to account for ... Read more