WB ARA 2010 2010-05-01 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/WB_ARA_2010.pdf (666.8 KB) This first annual risk analysis (WB-ARA) has been developed jointly in accordance with the Frontex May 2009 proposal to establish a permanent Western Balkan Risk Analysis Network (WB-RAN) between the Risk Analysis Units of the competent border-control authorities of Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), Croatia, the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and ... Read more
WB ARA 2011 2011-05-01 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/WB_ARA_2011.pdf (2.6 MB) When compared to 2009, the overall situation at the common borders between Western Balkan countries and their EU neighbours did not change dramatically in 2010. The only important change is linked with the visa liberalisation process for Western Balkan countries that has led to a sharp rise in asylum abuse throughout the EU and put the region in the spot light again. Consequently, this development is described in ... Read more
EaP-ARA 2017 2017-09-15 Files available for download EaP-ARA 2017 (2.3 MB) The unprecedented migration crisis of recent years has mostly affected the Eastern and Central Mediterranean migratory routes to the EU. However, in 2015 and early 2016, a partial shift of the migration flow to the northernmost section of the EU’s eastern border was observed, when a few thousand migrants reached the EU / Schengen area on the so-called Northern (or Arctic) route. The situation at the eastern borders returned to normal later in ... Read more
WB ARA 2018 2018-08-07 Files available for download WB ARA (4.8 MB) The migration flow continued to decrease remaininglargely under control; coordination and cooperation remain crucial An array of response measures, ranging from coordinated enhancement of border-controls by the most affected countries to policy actions supported by the EU, introduced at the end of 2015 and maintained throughout 2016 and 2017, contributed to a marked reduction in the volume of the non-regional[1] migration flow observed in the Western ... Read more
WB ARA 2017 2017-07-25 Files available for download WB ARA 2017 (6.8 MB) Bringing the unprecedented migration flow back under control / coordination and cooperation remain crucial An array of response measures, ranging from coordinated enhancement of border-controls by the most affected countries to policy actions supported by the EU, contributed to a marked reduction in the volume of the non-regional1 migratory flow transiting the Eastern Mediterranean and subsequently the Western Balkans. Overall, on the Western ... Read more
ARA 2011 2011-04-01 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/Annual_Risk_Analysis_2011.pdf (14.8 MB) Irregular migration represents a small proportion of the total movement of persons across the borders, three quarters of which are EU nationals. Over 100 nationalities require a visa to enter the EU, accounting for more than 80% of the non-EU population, while about 1 billion nationals from 37 countries do not require a visa. As yet, there are no precise statistics available on passenger flows for ... Read more
ARA 2013 2013-04-18 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/Annual_Risk_Analysis_2013.pdf (3.8 MB) Detections of illegal border-crossing along the EU’s external borders dropped sharply in 2012 to about 73 000, i.e. half the number reported in 2011. This was the first time since systematic data collection began in 2008 that annual detections have plunged under 100 000. In the Central Mediterranean area, the large number of detections in 2011, which suddenly increased following the Arab Spring in ... Read more
ARA 2017 2017-02-15 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/Annual_Risk_Analysis_2017.pdf (13.5 MB) In 2016, a drop in detections reported at the external borders with Turkey and Western Balkan countries led to an over all decrease in detections of illegal border-crossing at EU level. However, with over half a million detections (511 371), the figure is still significantly higher than any yearly total between 2010 (104 060) and 2014 (282 933). This means that the pressure on the external ... Read more
ARA 2016 2016-04-05 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/Annula_Risk_Analysis_2016.pdf (14.9 MB) In 2015, Member States reported more than 1 820 000 detections of illegal border-crossing along the external borders. This never-before-seen figure was more than six times the number of detections reported in 2014, which was itself an unprecedented year, with record monthly averages observed since April 2014. The year 2015 began with extremely high levels for the month of January (over 20 000 ... Read more
ARA 2012 2012-04-20 Files available for download Publications/Risk_Analysis/Annual_Risk_Analysis_2012.pdf (2.3 MB) The detections of illegal border-crossing along the external borders of EU Member States rose sharply from approximately 104 000 in 2009 and 2010 to nearly 141 000 in 2011 (+35%). The migrants crossing the borders illegally mainly came from Tunisia (20%), Afghanistan (16%) and Pakistan (11%). This increase is mostly due to the fact that more than 64 000 detections were reported in the Central ... Read more